The most recent datapoint of significance for investors has to be the U.S. Federal Reserve’s revised summary of economic projections.
The Fed now sees a stronger U.S. economy in 2011, with the world’s largest and most technologically advanced economy expected to grow 3.4% to 3.9%, up from the 3.0% to 3.6% November projection.
The Fed also expects the U.S. economy to grow 3.5% to 4.4% in 2012 and 3.7% to 4.6% in 2013, compared to the November estimates of 3.6% to 4.5% and 3.5% to 4.6%, respectively.
The central bank also see core-PCE inflation, which excludes the often-volatile food and energy components, of 1.0% to 1.3% in 2011, compared to the 0.9% to 1.6% November forecast, and 1.0% to 1.5% in 2012, compared to the 1.0% to 1.6% projection.
Economic Analysis: Of course, the Fed’s latest projections were released before the surge in oil prices to levels near $100 per barrel, but assuming Middle East political stability resumes and prices normalize at $75 to $80, the bias remains toward above-trend growth for the U.S.
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