The CP2 consortium’s $2.2 billion friendly takeover offer for ConnectEast ends a long and disappointing ride for investors in Melbourne’s EastLink tollroad owner and operator.
The company floated at $1 a share on the back of overly-optimistic traffic forecasts in 2004, and if the CPU scheme of arrangement takeover goes through, investors will get 55 cents a share, cash. There have however been far worse results for tollroad investors – the disastrous RiverCity float in Brisbane comes immediately to mind – and the bidders have shaped their offer carefully.
The key is that ConnectEast has gone to shareholders twice with two discounted share issues. A three-for-eight issue in 2008 pitched at 55 cents that raised $450 million, and then a one-for-two at 33 cents in 2009 that raised another $420 million.
Institutions that backed them averaged down, reducing the average cost of their shareholdings.
CPU is a specialty infrastructure investor, and controls 35.1 per cent of ConnectEast already through an investor consortium that counts New Zealand Superannuation Fund, ATP of Denmark and Universities Superannuation Scheme of the UK.
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