SABMiller’s bid for Foster’s is expected to take months to resolve, in the absence of any other bidders emerging, as Foster’s tries to get the world No.2 brewer to sweeten its $9.5 billion offer.
Foster’s shares have jumped to trade 6 per cent above SABMiller’s offer, rejected on Tuesday, with investors betting that SABMiller may have to raise its original bid by at least 10 per cent to seal the deal.
“SABMiller is the logical buyer,” said John Grace, portfolio manager at Ausbil Dexia, which owns a 0.5 per cent stake in Foster’s, according to Thomson Reuters data.
“They’ve got intentions to grow their global market share and Foster’s presents an attractive opportunity. They’re trying to engage with the board to come to an agreement. So it’s early days,” he said.
Foster’s is alluring for its 50 per cent market share in Australia, where its Victoria Bitter, Pure Blonde and Cascade beers help it earn some of the best margins in the developed world.
Others own the Foster’s brand offshore, including SABMiller, which owns the brand in India.
Brokers have speculated that SABMiller, which brews Peroni, Grolsch and Miller, would have to offer at least $5.25 to draw Foster’s into talk, and would have to pay at least $5.40 to clinch the deal.
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